Anthony Edwards Points - Player Prop Bet 1/22/2025

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NBA · Player Props

Anthony Edwards

G · Minnesota Timberwolves

Points

Dallas Mavericks vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Jan 22, 2025

Updated Jan 22, 2025 11:40 PM EST

Analysis

Anthony Edwards Points Prop is currently Over/Under 26.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 26.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 26.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Anthony Edwards has tallied 33.0 points per game over the last 5 games, 6.7 higher than he's tallied in all games this year.
Relative to last year's 6.8 clip, Anthony Edwards's 3-point attempts have surged this year to 9.9 per game.
Anthony Edwards has tallied 36.8 minutes per game away from his home court this year, putting him in the 97th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the NBA.
The Timberwolves check in as the 5th-most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 20 games on the road in terms of shots from behind the three-point arc.
The matchup against Dallas is a favorable one for 3-point shots; when the Mavericks have the home court advantage, the opposing team's starting SGs have tallied the 3rd-most 3-pointers per game in the NBA this year (2.8).

Favors Under

The 2nd-slowest tempo offense in the league over the last 25 games has been the Minnesota Timberwolves.
The Timberwolves are expected to suffer a reduction in plays in this contest from competing against the 6th-most lethargic tempo home team in the league over the last 5 games (the Dallas Mavericks).
Offensive rebounds save possession and result in more opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Minnesota Timberwolves rank 9thworst in in the league when playing on the road with just 10.3 offensive boards per game this year.
Over the last 10 games, opposing starting SGs have attempted 1.8 foul shots per game (6th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Dallas Mavericks, facing an uphill battle to get to the free-throw line.
Anthony Edwards figures to suffer a reduction in production in all facets of the game in light of being on the road in this game.