Anthony Edwards Points - Player Prop Bet 1/17/2025

NBA · Player Props

Anthony Edwards

G · Minnesota Timberwolves

Points

New York Knicks vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Jan 17, 2025

Updated Jan 18, 2025 2:04 AM EST

Analysis

Anthony Edwards Points Prop is currently Over/Under 26.5 (-125/-103).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 25.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 26.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Anthony Edwards has totaled 33.4 points per game over the last 5 games while on the road, 5.5 higher than he's totaled over the course of the season on the road.
Anthony Edwards has attempted 9.9 three-point shots per game this season, significantly more than his 6.8 rate last season.
Out of all players in the NBA, Anthony Edwards places in the 97th percentile for playing time, tallying a massive 36.7 minutes per game while playing away from home this year.
In terms of shots from behind the three-point arc, the 3rd-most aggressive offense in the NBA as the away team over the last 20 games has been the Minnesota Timberwolves.
The matchup vs. New York is a positive one; when the New York Knicks have the home court advantage, they have allowed the most points per game in the NBA to opposing starting SGs this year (21.5).

Favors Under

The 3rd-most lethargic tempo offense in the league over the last 25 games has been the Minnesota Timberwolves.
The Minnesota Timberwolves are expected to experience a decrease in plays today from squaring off against the 3rd-most sluggish tempo team in the league this year (the Knicks).
The Timberwolves rank as the 8th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league as the away team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).
The matchup vs. New York may be a challenging one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposition's starting SGs have attempted a lowly 1.9 foul shots per game over the last 10 games when the New York Knicks have the home court advantage (3rd-least in the league).
Anthony Edwards will not hold the home court advantage in this contest. Playing without the home court advantage generally reduces player performance in all stat categories.