Anthony Edwards Points - Player Prop Bet 12/23/2024

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Anthony Edwards

NBA · Player Props

Anthony Edwards

G · Minnesota Timberwolves

Points

Atlanta Hawks vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Dec 23, 2024

Updated Dec 24, 2024 4:01 AM EST

Analysis

Anthony Edwards Points Prop is currently Over/Under 26.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 25.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 26.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Anthony Edwards has tallied 25.6 points per game this year, ranking him among the best players in the league in this category: 98th percentile.
Anthony Edwards has made a terrific 4.3 treys per game this year, a sizeable increase from his 2.5 mark last year.
Anthony Edwards has been on the court for 35.9 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the NBA: 96th percentile.
With respect to shot attempts from downtown, the 5th-most aggressive team in the league this year has been the Minnesota Timberwolves.
The matchup against Atlanta is a strong one for field goal attempts; when the Atlanta Hawks have the home court advantage, the other team's starting SGs have totaled the 9th-most FG attempts per game in the NBA this year (13.6).

Favors Under

The 5th-most lethargic pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Timberwolves.
The Minnesota Timberwolves have been the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league on the road this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).
Anthony Edwards has attempted a measly 4.2 foul shots per game this season, quite a bit less than his 6.4 rate last season.
Anthony Edwards ought to see a decline in production for all stats due to being on the road in this game.

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