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Anthony Edwards

Anthony Edwards Points
Player Prop - 11/24/2024

Boston Celtics vs Minnesota Timberwolves

Anthony Edwards Points Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (-104/-129).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 26.5 @ -137 before it was bet up to 27.5 @ -104.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Anthony Edwards has attempted 11.1 shots from downtown per game this year, significantly more than his 6.8 rate last year.

Out of all players in the NBA, Anthony Edwards rates in the 99th percentile for playing time, tallying a massive 37.0 minutes per game this year.

As it relates to scoring, the Timberwolves's remarkable 115.2 points per game while playing away from home measures as the 8th-highest in the league over the last 5 games.

This year when they are the visiting squad, opposing starting SGs have totaled 6.8 three attempts per game (4th-highest in the NBA) against the Celtics, resulting in a strong matchup.

The rate of three-point shots scored against Jrue Holiday has been quite high (39.3%) when defending opposing starting SGs this year (78th percentile).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The 9th-most sluggish pace-of-play road offense in the league this year has been the Timberwolves.

The Celtics have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the league at home this year, which ought to reduce possessions for the Minnesota Timberwolves.

The Minnesota Timberwolves check in as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while playing away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

The matchup against Boston may be a difficult one for getting to the free-throw line; opposing starting SGs have attempted a lowly 1.4 free throws per game over the last 10 games when the Boston Celtics are at home (least in the league).

Anthony Edwards will not possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on the road generally decreases player production across the board.

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