Anthony Edwards Points - Player Prop Bet 11/21/2024

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Anthony Edwards

NBA · Player Props

Anthony Edwards

G · Minnesota Timberwolves

Points

Toronto Raptors vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Nov 21, 2024

Updated Nov 22, 2024 12:33 AM EST

Analysis

Anthony Edwards Points Prop is currently Over/Under 26.5 (+104/-128).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 26.5 @ -122 before it was bet down to 26.5 @ -128.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the NBA, Anthony Edwards places in the 99th percentile for shots taken, posting 21.0 per game this year.
Compared to last year's 6.8 rate, Anthony Edwards's 3-point attempts have risen this year to 11.3 per game.
Anthony Edwards has averaged 37.1 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 99th percentile.
When it comes to offense, the Minnesota Timberwolves's terrific 114.8 points per game away from home places 10th-most in the league over the last 5 games.
This year when they are away from home, opposing starting SGs have totaled 15.6 field goal attempts per game (most in the NBA) against the Raptors, marking this as a strong matchup.

Favors Under

The 9th-most lethargic pace-of-play road offense in the league this year has been the Timberwolves.
Offensive rebounds continue possession and create more chances for scoring and assists, but the Timberwolves rank 3rdworst in in the NBA without the home court advantage with just 8.7 offensive rebounds per game this year.
Anthony Edwards has attempted a measly 4.4 free throws per game this year, significantly less than his 6.4 mark last year.
The matchup against the Raptors may be a hard one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted a mere 1.2 free throws per game over the last 10 games (least in the NBA).
Anthony Edwards figures to experience a decrease in efficiency in all facets of the game in light of being on the road in this matchup.

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