Anthony Edwards Points - Player Prop Bet 11/12/2024

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Anthony Edwards

NBA · Player Props

Anthony Edwards

G · Minnesota Timberwolves

Points

Portland Trail Blazers vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Nov 12, 2024

Updated Nov 13, 2024 2:54 AM EST

Analysis

Anthony Edwards Points Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (-108/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 26.5 @ -116 before it was bet up to 27.5 @ -108.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Anthony Edwards has attempted 11.8 three-point shots per game this year, significantly more than his 6.8 rate last year.
Anthony Edwards has been on the court for 36.1 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 94th percentile.
The Minnesota Timberwolves check in as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the league this year in terms of 3-point shots.
This year, the opposing team's starting SGs have averaged 51.5% on shot attempts from the field (best in the NBA) against the Portland Trail Blazers, designating this as a favorable matchup.
The Portland Trail Blazers have played at the 3rd-speediest pace in the league with the home court advantage this year, which should raise possessions for the Timberwolves.

Favors Under

The 10th-most sluggish pace away team in the league this year has been the Minnesota Timberwolves.
The Timberwolves have been the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA as the visting team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).
Compared to last season's 81.6% mark, Anthony Edwards's free-throw effectiveness has regressed this season to 68.7%.
Anthony Edwards will not possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home stadium usually lowers player production in all stat categories.

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