Anthony Edwards Points - Player Prop Bet 11/10/2024

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Anthony Edwards

NBA · Player Props

Anthony Edwards

G · Minnesota Timberwolves

Points

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Miami Heat · Nov 10, 2024

Updated Nov 11, 2024 12:16 AM EST

Analysis

Anthony Edwards Points Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-134/+102).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 27.5 @ -137 before it was bet down to 25.5 @ +102.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Anthony Edwards has compiled 29.0 points per game this year, putting him among the best players in the NBA in this category: 99th percentile.
Anthony Edwards has attempted 11.6 shots from behind the three-point arc per game this season, a significant increase from his 6.8 rate last season.
Anthony Edwards has been on the court for 34.6 minutes per game while on his home court this year, placing him in the 93rd percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the league.
When it comes to shooting, the Minnesota Timberwolves's impressive 119.6 points per game ranks 4th-most in the league over the last 5 games.
The matchup against the Miami Heat is a good one for 3-point attempts; the opposing team's starting SGs have tallied the most three attempts per game in the NBA this year (6.3).

Favors Under

The Miami Heat have played at the 4th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which should reduce opportunities for the Timberwolves.
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and generate additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Minnesota Timberwolves rank 6thworst in in the NBA with only 8.6 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.
The matchup vs. Miami may be a tough one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted a lowly 1.0 free throws per game over the last 5 games when the Heat are the visiting squad (4th-least in the league).

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