Anthony Edwards Points - Player Prop Bet 5/22/2024

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Anthony Edwards

NBA · Player Props

Anthony Edwards

G · Minnesota Timberwolves

Points

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Dallas Mavericks · May 22, 2024

Updated May 23, 2024 12:31 AM EST

Analysis

Anthony Edwards Points Prop is currently Over/Under 28.5 (-110/-115).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Anthony Edwards has converted 3.6 threes per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.2 higher than he's sunk over the course of the season on his home court.
Anthony Edwards has played 40.5 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 4.8 higher than he's played over the course of the season.
The Timberwolves rank as the 3rd-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA this year.
The matchup vs. the Mavericks is a strong one for three-point attempts; the opposing team's starting SGs have totaled the 5th-most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (6.1).
The rate of field goals scored against Kyrie Irving has been quite high (44.1%) when guarding opposing starting SGs this year (75th percentile).

Favors Under

Anthony Edwards has been called for 3.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games while on his home court, 1.3 more than he's been called for overall this season at home.
The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the most sluggish tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games.
The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 6th-slowest tempo in the league over the last 15 games, which should reduce plays for the Minnesota Timberwolves.
Offensive rebounds continue possession and spark more opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Timberwolves rank 5thworst in in the league while at home with only 8.8 offensive rebounds per game this year.
The matchup against the Mavericks may be a hard one for getting to the charity stripe; the other team's starting SGs have attempted a lowly 1.8 foul shots per game over the last 10 games (6th-least in the NBA).

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