Anthony Edwards Points - Player Prop Bet 5/19/2024

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Anthony Edwards

NBA · Player Props

Anthony Edwards

G · Minnesota Timberwolves

Points

Denver Nuggets vs Minnesota Timberwolves · May 19, 2024

Updated May 19, 2024 11:51 PM EST

Analysis

Anthony Edwards Points Prop is currently Over/Under 28.5 (-145/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 28.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 28.5 @ -145.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Anthony Edwards has totaled 32.8 points per game over the last 5 games away from his home court, 5.3 more than he's totaled overall this season on the road.
Anthony Edwards has made 3.1 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 10 games, 0.6 higher than he's made overall this season.
Anthony Edwards has been on the court for 41.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games while playing on the road, 5.3 higher than he's been on the court for in all games this season on the road.
The Timberwolves have been the 6th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games when playing on the road.
Over the last 5 games when they are away from home, the opposing team's starting SGs have registered 20.4 points per game (2nd-highest in the NBA) vs. the Denver Nuggets, identifying this as a good matchup for offensive output.

Favors Under

The 2nd-most lethargic tempo offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Minnesota Timberwolves.
The Minnesota Timberwolves will likely experience a decrease in plays in this contest from sharing the court with the 2nd-least up-tempo pace home offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Nuggets).
The Minnesota Timberwolves rank as the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).
Anthony Edwards will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing while traveling usually decreases stat production in all stat categories.

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