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Anthony Edwards

Anthony Edwards Points
Player Prop - 5/16/2024

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Denver Nuggets

Anthony Edwards Points Prop is currently Over/Under 28.5 (-170/+130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 28.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 28.5 @ -170.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Anthony Edwards has compiled 30.2 points per game over the last 5 games, 3.8 higher than he's compiled overall this season.

Anthony Edwards has averaged 41.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.3 more than he's averaged overall this year.

As it relates to treys, the Minnesota Timberwolves's fantastic 38.5% rate of made threes places 2nd-best in the league this year.

Anthony Edwards has sunk a whopping 5.4 foul shots per game this year, a significant increase from his 4.1 mark last year.

This year, opposing starting SGs have attempted 3.7 foul shots per game (3rd-most in the NBA) vs. the Denver Nuggets, making it fairly effortless to get to the foul line.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Anthony Edwards has accumulated 3.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games when playing at home, 1.5 higher than he's accumulated over the course of the year at home.

The matchup vs. the Nuggets is a challenging one; they have given up the least points per game in the NBA to the opposing team's starting SGs over the last 25 games (15.6).

The 2nd-most lethargic pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 10 games has been the Minnesota Timberwolves.

The Nuggets have played at the 5th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which should lead to fewer opportunities for the Timberwolves.

The Timberwolves rank as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league while on their home court this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

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