Anthony Edwards Points - Player Prop Bet 5/14/2024

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Anthony Edwards

NBA · Player Props

Anthony Edwards

G · Minnesota Timberwolves

Points

Denver Nuggets vs Minnesota Timberwolves · May 14, 2024

Updated May 15, 2024 2:36 AM EST

Analysis

Anthony Edwards Points Prop is currently Over/Under 29.5 (-130/+110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 30.5 @ -108 before it was bet down to 29.5 @ +110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Anthony Edwards has compiled 34.6 points per game over the last 5 games, 8.1 higher than he's compiled overall this season.
Among all players in the NBA, Anthony Edwards comes in at the 96th percentile for playing time, tallying a monstrous 35.6 minutes per game this year.
The Minnesota Timberwolves check in as the 4th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games while playing away from home.
Over the last 5 games when they are the visiting team, the opposing team's starting SGs have tallied 20.4 points per game (2nd-highest in the NBA) vs. the Denver Nuggets, creating a good matchup for offensive effectiveness.
Compared to last year's 4.1 mark, Anthony Edwards's foul shots made have jumped this year to 5.4 per game.

Favors Under

Anthony Edwards has been called for 2.6 personal fouls per game over the last 10 games, 0.8 higher than he's been called for in all games this year.
The 2nd-slowest pace-of-play visiting offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Minnesota Timberwolves.
The Timberwolves are expected to experience a decrease in plays in this game from sharing the court with the 3rd-most lethargic pace-of-play home offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Nuggets).
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and spark added chances for scoring and assists, but the Timberwolves grade out 7thworst in in the NBA with a mere 9.5 offensive boards per game this year.
Anthony Edwards will not possess the home court advantage in this contest. Playing without the home court advantage usually decreases player performance for all stats.

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