Anthony Edwards Points - Player Prop Bet 5/12/2024

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Anthony Edwards

NBA · Player Props

Anthony Edwards

G · Minnesota Timberwolves

Points

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Denver Nuggets · May 12, 2024

Updated May 12, 2024 11:52 PM EST

Analysis

Anthony Edwards Points Prop is currently Over/Under 28.5 (-145/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 28.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 28.5 @ -145.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Anthony Edwards has converted 12.2 baskets per game over the last 5 games, 2.9 higher than he's put through the net overall this year.
Anthony Edwards has averaged 40.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.6 more than he's averaged overall this year.
With respect to treys, the Minnesota Timberwolves's fantastic 38.5% rate of made threes comes in as the 3rd-strongest in the league this year.
The Nuggets have played at the 6th-speediest pace in the league over the last 5 games on the road, which ought to lead to more plays for the Minnesota Timberwolves.
Anthony Edwards has made a terrific 5.3 foul shots per game this year, quite a bit more than his 4.1 mark last year.

Favors Under

Anthony Edwards has accumulated 3.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games playing at home, 1.9 higher than he's accumulated in all games this season at home.
The matchup against the Nuggets is a tough one; they have allowed the least points per game in the NBA to the opposing team's starting SGs over the last 25 games (15.6).
The 3rd-slowest tempo team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Timberwolves.
The Minnesota Timberwolves check in as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA when playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

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