Anthony Edwards Points - Player Prop Bet 5/10/2024

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Anthony Edwards

NBA · Player Props

Anthony Edwards

G · Minnesota Timberwolves

Points

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Denver Nuggets · May 10, 2024

Updated May 11, 2024 1:07 AM EST

Analysis

Anthony Edwards Points Prop is currently Over/Under 28.5 (-135/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 27.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 28.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Anthony Edwards has registered 32.2 points per game over the last 5 games, 5.8 more than he's registered over the course of the year.
Anthony Edwards has attempted 6.4 shots from downtown per game while playing at home this year, ranking in the 91st percentile among all players in the NBA.
Anthony Edwards has averaged 40.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.8 higher than he's averaged overall this year.
The Denver Nuggets have played at the 6th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games away from their home city, which ought to lead to increased opportunities for the Timberwolves.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and bring about added chances for scoring and assists, and the Timberwolves grade out 9th-best in in the NBA with 11.8 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

Favors Under

The Minnesota Timberwolves check in as the 9th-lowest scoring offense in the league as the home team this year.
Over the last 25 games, the other team's starting SGs have totaled 15.6 points per game (fewest in the league) vs. the Nuggets, creating a hard matchup for offensive efficiency.
The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 5th-slowest pace in the league over the last 5 games.

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