Anthony Edwards Points - Player Prop Bet 3/29/2024

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Anthony Edwards

NBA · Player Props

Anthony Edwards

G · Minnesota Timberwolves

Points

Denver Nuggets vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Mar 29, 2024

Updated Mar 30, 2024 1:02 AM EST

Analysis

Anthony Edwards Points Prop is currently Over/Under 26.5 (-135/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 26.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 26.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Anthony Edwards has logged 31.4 points per game over the last 15 games away from home, 4.2 more than he's logged in all games this season on the road.
Among all players in the NBA, Anthony Edwards lands in the 96th percentile for playing time, averaging an enormous 35.2 minutes per game this year.
In regard to shooting, the Timberwolves's outstanding 117.6 points per game while playing away from home settles in as the 5th-best in the NBA over the last 10 games.
The matchup against Denver is a good one; when the Nuggets are playing at home, they have allowed the 2nd-most points per game in the league to the opposing team's starting SGs over the last 5 games (20.4).
Anthony Edwards has successfully made a whopping 5.2 free throws per game this year, quite a bit more than his 4.1 rate last year.

Favors Under

The 4th-least up-tempo pace team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Timberwolves.
The Minnesota Timberwolves will likely experience a decrease in plays in this contest from facing the 4th-least up-tempo pace offense in the NBA this year (the Denver Nuggets).
The Timberwolves rank as the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).
Anthony Edwards is expected to suffer a reduction in output for all stats considering playing on the visting team in this matchup.

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