Anthony Edwards Points - Player Prop Bet 3/19/2024

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Anthony Edwards

NBA · Player Props

Anthony Edwards

G · Minnesota Timberwolves

Points

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Denver Nuggets · Mar 19, 2024

Updated Mar 20, 2024 1:09 AM EST

Analysis

Anthony Edwards Points Prop is currently Over/Under 28.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 29.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 28.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Anthony Edwards has attempted 24.4 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 4.4 more than he's attempted in all games this season.
Out of all players in the league, Anthony Edwards lands in the 95th percentile for playing time, logging a massive 35.0 minutes per game at home this year.
With respect to shots from downtown, the Timberwolves's superb 38.7% rate of converted threes comes in as the 4th-highest in the league this year.
Anthony Edwards has made 93.3% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games at home, 9.1% higher than he's made in all games this season with the home court advantage.
This year, the other team's starting SGs have attempted 3.7 free throws per game (3rd-most in the NBA) vs. the Nuggets, succeeding in their efforts to draw fouls.

Favors Under

Over the last 25 games, opposing starting SGs have tallied 5.2 3-point attempts per game (lowest in the NBA) against the Nuggets, resulting in a difficult matchup.
The 6th-least up-tempo tempo team in the NBA this year has been the Minnesota Timberwolves.
The Minnesota Timberwolves are expected to experience a decrease in possessions in this contest from sharing the court with the 2nd-most sluggish pace road offense in the league over the last 25 games (the Denver Nuggets).
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and spark bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Minnesota Timberwolves grade out 2ndworst in in the league at home with only 8.6 offensive rebounds per game this year.

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