Anthony Edwards Points - Player Prop Bet 12/26/2023

NBA · Player Props

Anthony Edwards

G · Minnesota Timberwolves

Points

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Dec 26, 2023

Updated Dec 27, 2023 1:12 AM EST

Analysis

Anthony Edwards Points Prop is currently Over/Under 28.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 28.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 28.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Anthony Edwards has attempted 22.8 shots from the field per game over the last 5 games, 3.2 higher than he's attempted overall this season.
Anthony Edwards has tallied 33.5 minutes per game when playing away from home this year, placing him in the 88th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the NBA.
The Minnesota Timberwolves check in as the 5th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league over the last 15 games.
The matchup vs. the Thunder is a favorable one for 3-point shots; the opposition's starting SGs have put up the 29th-highest three rate in the NBA this year (44.1%).
The Minnesota Timberwolves will likely see an increase in plays today from facing the 3rd-speediest pace home offense in the league over the last 15 games (the Thunder).

Favors Under

Anthony Edwards has accumulated 0.2 technical fouls per game when playing away from home this year, ranking him in the 92nd percentile -- among the NBA's most foul-prone when it comes to technicals.
The Timberwolves have played at the 8th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games away from home.
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and spark bonus chances for scoring and assists, but the Minnesota Timberwolves grade out 3rdworst in in the league with just 9.8 offensive boards per game this year.
This year, the other team has brought down 13.5 offensive boards per game (highest in the league) against the Thunder (retaining possessions that can produce more chances for offense).
The matchup vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder may be a tough one for drawing fouls; the opposition's starting SGs have attempted a mere 1.9 foul shots per game over the last 20 games (14th-least in the NBA).