Anthony Edwards Points - Player Prop Bet 12/21/2023

reorder

NBA · Player Props

Anthony Edwards

G · Minnesota Timberwolves

Points

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Los Angeles Lakers · Dec 21, 2023

Updated Dec 22, 2023 2:23 AM EST

Analysis

Anthony Edwards Points Prop is currently Over/Under 26.5 (-120/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Anthony Edwards has sunk 3.8 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.1 more than he's converted from downtown overall this year playing at home.
Anthony Edwards has averaged 34.0 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 90th percentile.
The Minnesota Timberwolves check in as the 3rd-most efficient shooting team in the league over the last 25 games.
The Timberwolves are expected to see a spike in opportunities in this contest from competing against the 3rd-fastest pace-of-play away team in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Lakers).
Anthony Edwards has converted 6.8 free throws per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.4 more than he's put through the net overall this season while at home.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Anthony Edwards rates in the 95th percentile for technical fouls, posting an enormous 0.2 fouls per game while at home this year.
This year, the other team's starting SGs have averaged 11.7 shot attempts per game (10th-fewest in the NBA) against the Los Angeles Lakers, creating a challenging matchup.
The Timberwolves have played at the 8th-most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 10 games.
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and lead to extra chances for scoring and assists, but the Timberwolves rank 2ndworst in in the NBA on their home court with only 8.7 offensive boards per game this year.
Over the last 15 games when they have the home court advantage, opposing teams have nabbed 11.5 offensive boards per game (2nd-most in the league) vs. the Lakers (lengthening possessions that can produce added opportunities for offense).