Anthony Edwards Points - Player Prop Bet 12/20/2023

NBA · Player Props

Anthony Edwards

G · Minnesota Timberwolves

Points

Philadelphia 76ers vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Dec 20, 2023

Updated Dec 20, 2023 11:58 PM EST

Analysis

Anthony Edwards Points Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-145/+106).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 26.5 @ -127 before it was bet down to 25.5 @ +106.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the NBA, Anthony Edwards measures in the 96th percentile for shots from the field while playing on the road, putting up 18.7 per game this year.
Among all players in the NBA, Anthony Edwards comes in at the 86th percentile for playing time, posting a whopping 32.8 minutes per game without the home court advantage this year.
The Timberwolves check in as the 9th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games as the visting team.
Over the last 24 games when they are on the road, the opposing team's starting SGs have averaged 18.4 points per game (25th-highest in the NBA) vs. the 76ers, marking this as a favorable matchup for offensive efficiency.
The Timberwolves are expected to see a rise in possessions today from facing the 9th-most up-tempo pace offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Philadelphia 76ers).

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Anthony Edwards registers in the 82nd percentile for technical fouls, averaging a massive 0.1 fouls per game away from his home court this year.
The 5th-most sluggish pace-of-play team in the league over the last 10 games has been the Timberwolves.
Offensive rebounds continue possession and produce extra chances for scoring and assists, but the Timberwolves rank 6thworst in in the NBA with a mere 9.9 offensive boards per game this year.
This year when they are on the road, opposing clubs have collected 11.5 offensive rebounds per game (10th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Philadelphia 76ers (lengthening possessions that can spark bonus opportunities for offense).
Anthony Edwards will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing without the home court advantage generally lowers player production for all stats.