Anthony Edwards Points - Player Prop Bet 12/11/2023

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Anthony Edwards

NBA · Player Props

Anthony Edwards

G · Minnesota Timberwolves

Points

New Orleans Pelicans vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Dec 11, 2023

Updated Dec 11, 2023 11:48 PM EST

Analysis

Anthony Edwards Points Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 24.5 @ -113 before it was bet down to 22.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

In regard to scoring, the Minnesota Timberwolves's stellar 114.9 points per game on their home court measures as the 10th-highest in the league this year.
The matchup against the Pelicans is a challenging one for three-pointers; opposing clubs have compiled the 3rd-lowest 3-point rate in the league this year (34.1%).
The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 8th-fastest pace in the NBA over the last 10 games away from their home stadium, which should boost plays for the Timberwolves.

Favors Under

The 2nd-most sluggish tempo team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Timberwolves.
The Timberwolves rank as the 8th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league with the home court advantage this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).
This year, opposing clubs have brought down 12.0 offensive boards per game (6th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Pelicans (maintaining possessions that can lead to further opportunities for offense).
Over the last 5 games when they are the visiting team, the other team has attempted 24.2 free throws per game (10th-most in the NBA) vs. the Pelicans, finding it easy to draw fouls.

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