Anthony Edwards Points - Player Prop Bet 11/1/2023

NBA · Player Props

Anthony Edwards

G · Minnesota Timberwolves

Points

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Denver Nuggets · Nov 1, 2023

Updated Nov 2, 2023 12:12 AM EST

Analysis

Anthony Edwards Points Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 24.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 24.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Anthony Edwards has attempted 19.7 shots per game when playing away from home since the start of last season, ranking in the 97th percentile among all players in the league.
Anthony Edwards has attempted 7.4 3-pointers per game away from home since the start of last season, ranking him in the 96th percentile out of all players in the league.
Anthony Edwards has played 35.8 minutes per game since the start of last season, putting him among the most-used players in the league: 98th percentile.
The Timberwolves check in as the 2nd-most efficient shooting team in the league as the home team since the start of last season.
The Denver Nuggets have allowed the 8th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.9) in the NBA to opposing squads since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Since the start of last season, the opposing team's starting SGs have averaged 1.8 threes per game (15th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Denver Nuggets, labeling this as a difficult matchup.
The {OPP_TEAM} will likely suffer a drop-off in plays today from squaring off against the 5th-least up-tempo tempo home offense in the NBA this year (the Nuggets).
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and produce bonus chances for scoring and assists, but the Timberwolves grade out 5thworst in in the NBA at home with a mere 9.1 offensive boards per game since the start of last season.
Since the start of last season when they have the home court advantage, the opposition's starting SGs have attempted 2.6 foul shots per game (9th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Nuggets, making it tough to draw fouls.