Anthony Edwards Points - Player Prop Bet 10/25/2023

NBA · Player Props

Anthony Edwards

G · Minnesota Timberwolves

Points

Toronto Raptors vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Oct 25, 2023

Updated Oct 25, 2023 11:17 PM EST

Analysis

Anthony Edwards Points Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-135/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 24.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 24.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Anthony Edwards has attempted 19.7 field goals per game this season, a big improvement over his 17.4 mark last season.
Anthony Edwards has missed 4.7 three-point shots per game this season, a significant dropoff from his 5.4 mark last season.
Among all players in the NBA, Anthony Edwards ranks in the 94th percentile for playing time, posting an enormous 34.7 minutes per game at home this year.
The Timberwolves have been the 9th-highest scoring offense in the league while playing on the road this year.
The Toronto Raptors have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (9.2) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

This year when they are on their home court, the other team's starting SGs have tallied 12.2 shot attempts per game (15th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Raptors, identifying this as a tough matchup.
The Timberwolves have played at the 8th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games.
The {OPP_TEAM} are expected to suffer a reduction in possessions today from squaring off against the 5th-most sluggish pace-of-play road team in the league this year (the Raptors).
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and spark bonus chances for scoring and assists, but the Minnesota Timberwolves rank 5thworst in in the league with a mere 9.0 offensive rebounds per game this year.
The matchup against Toronto may be a challenging one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted a measly 1.9 foul shots per game over the last 15 games when the Raptors are on the road (14th-least in the league).