Anthony Edwards Points - Player Prop Bet 4/21/2023

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Anthony Edwards

NBA · Player Props

Anthony Edwards

G · Minnesota Timberwolves

Points

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Denver Nuggets · Apr 21, 2023

Updated Apr 21, 2023 7:42 PM EST

Analysis

Anthony Edwards Points Prop is currently Over/Under 26.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 25.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 26.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Anthony Edwards has attempted 22.5 shots from the field per game over the last 10 games when playing at home, 2.0 more than he's attempted overall this season at home.
Anthony Edwards has attempted 7.3 threes per game this year, ranking in the 96th percentile among all players in the NBA.
Anthony Edwards has played 35.5 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the league: 98th percentile.
The Minnesota Timberwolves check in as the 4th-most efficient shooting team in the NBA this year.
The Nuggets have allowed the 10th-least offensive rebounds per game (10.1) in the NBA to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Anthony Edwards has averaged 3.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 more than he's averaged over the course of the season.
The matchup against the Nuggets is a hard one; they have allowed the 15th-least points per game in the league to the opposition's starting SGs this year (15.1).
The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 8th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games.
The Nuggets have played at the 4th-least up-tempo pace in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to decrease plays for the Timberwolves.
The Minnesota Timberwolves check in as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).

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