Anthony Edwards Points - Player Prop Bet 4/16/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Anthony Edwards

G · Minnesota Timberwolves

Points

Denver Nuggets vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Apr 16, 2023

Updated Apr 17, 2023 2:11 AM EST

Analysis

Anthony Edwards Points Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-108/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 24.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 25.5 @ -108.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Anthony Edwards has attempted 18.4 shots per game while on the road this year, putting him in the 95th percentile out of all players in the league.
Anthony Edwards has made 2.7 3-pointers per game this year, ranking in the 94th percentile among all players in the league.
Anthony Edwards has tallied 34.6 minutes per game away from his home court this year, placing him in the 95th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the NBA.
The Minnesota Timberwolves check in as the 5th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 10 games while playing on the road.
The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 6th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA this year.

Favors Under

The matchup against the Nuggets is a difficult one; they have given up the 15th-least points per game in the NBA to the opposing team's starting SGs this year (14.8).
The Nuggets have played at the 6th-least up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 25 games, which should decrease opportunities for the Timberwolves.
The Minnesota Timberwolves rank as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).
The Nuggets have allowed the most offensive rebounds per game (15.2) in the league to opposing squads over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).
The matchup against the Nuggets is a hard one for getting to the foul line; the other team's starting SGs have attempted a mere 2.5 free throws per game this year (14th-least in the NBA).