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Anthony Edwards

Anthony Edwards Points
Player Prop - 4/11/2023

Los Angeles Lakers vs Minnesota Timberwolves

 
 
 
Anthony Edwards Points Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (-133/+103).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 26.5 @ -119 before it was bet up to 27.5 @ -133.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Anthony Edwards has attempted 22.0 shots from the field per game over the last 5 games, 2.5 higher than he's attempted over the course of the season.
  • Anthony Edwards has sunk 2.6 threes per game when playing on the road this year, putting him in the 94th percentile out of all players in the league.
  • Anthony Edwards has been on the court for 34.4 minutes per game without the home court advantage this year, putting him in the 95th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the NBA.
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have been the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games while playing away from home.
  • The matchup against the Lakers is a favorable one for shots from the field; opposing starting SGs have shot for the 25th-highest Field Goal% in the league this year (46.7%).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Lakers have played at the 10th-slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 9 games on their home court, which ought to lead to fewer opportunities for the Timberwolves.
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves rank as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • With the home court advantage, the Lakers have given up the 5th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.6) in the league to the other team over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • The matchup against the Lakers is a tough one for getting to the foul line; the other team's starting SGs have attempted a mere 2.7 free throws per game this year (9th-least in the league).
  • Anthony Edwards will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home city tends to lowers player performance in all stat categories.

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