Anthony Edwards Points - Player Prop Bet 4/4/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Anthony Edwards

G · Minnesota Timberwolves

Points

Brooklyn Nets vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Apr 4, 2023

Updated Apr 5, 2023 1:01 AM EST

Analysis

Anthony Edwards Points Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-102/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 24.5 @ -122 before it was bet down to 24.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Anthony Edwards has attempted 18.3 shots per game away from home this year, placing him in the 95th percentile out of all players in the league.
Anthony Edwards has successfully made 2.7 treys per game this year, placing him in the 94th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
Anthony Edwards has been on the court for 34.8 minutes per game away from his home court this year, ranking in the 95th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the NBA.
The Minnesota Timberwolves rank as the 4th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 10 games while on the road.
The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 5th-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 25 games.

Favors Under

The matchup vs. Brooklyn is a challenging one for scoring; when the Nets are at home, the opposing team's starting SGs have put up the 13th-lowest FG% in the NBA this year (41.0%).
The Nets have played at the 4th-slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which should lead to fewer plays for the Timberwolves.
The Minnesota Timberwolves have been the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).
The Nets have allowed the most offensive rebounds per game (11.9) in the league to their opposition over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).
Anthony Edwards will not hold the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home stadium generally lowers stat production in all stat categories.