Anthony Edwards Points - Player Prop Bet 3/29/2023

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Anthony Edwards

NBA · Player Props

Anthony Edwards

G · Minnesota Timberwolves

Points

Phoenix Suns vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Mar 29, 2023

Updated Mar 30, 2023 3:01 AM EST

Analysis

Anthony Edwards Points Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-115/-104).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 22.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 22.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Anthony Edwards has attempted 18.2 shots from the field per game while playing away from home this year, placing him in the 95th percentile out of all players in the league.
Anthony Edwards has been on the court for 34.6 minutes per game without the home court advantage this year, ranking him in the 95th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the league.
The Minnesota Timberwolves check in as the 4th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 10 games while playing on the road.
The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 6th-quickest pace-of-play in the league this year.
The Suns have played at the 8th-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 5 games in their home city, which should boost possessions for the Timberwolves.

Favors Under

Anthony Edwards has attempted a lowly 7.3 3-point shots per game this year, a significant dropoff from his 8.5 rate last year.
The matchup vs. the Suns is a challenging one for threes; the opposition's starting SGs have compiled the 8th-lowest 3-point rate in the NBA this year (33.7%).
The Minnesota Timberwolves rank as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games when playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).
Anthony Edwards will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home stadium tends to worsens player production in all facets of the game.

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