Anthony Edwards Points - Player Prop Bet 3/7/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Anthony Edwards

G · Minnesota Timberwolves

Points

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Philadelphia 76ers · Mar 7, 2023

Updated Mar 8, 2023 12:01 AM EST

Analysis

Anthony Edwards Points Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 25.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 25.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Anthony Edwards has averaged 25.6 points per game over the last 10 games, 3.9 higher than he's averaged over the course of the year.
Anthony Edwards has attempted 8.2 3-point shots per game while playing at home this year, ranking him in the 97th percentile among all players in the league.
The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the speediest pace-of-play in the league this year.
The Minnesota Timberwolves have been the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA with the home court advantage this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).
Anthony Edwards has attempted 5.7 foul shots per game over the last 10 games, 1.7 higher than he's attempted overall this year.

Favors Under

Anthony Edwards has committed 3.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 more than he's committed overall this season.
The Minnesota Timberwolves have been the 6th-least efficient shooting team in the league with the home court advantage this year.
The matchup against Philadelphia is a difficult one for attempts from beyond the arc; when the 76ers are on the road, the opposing team's starting SGs have averaged the 15th-least three attempts per game in the NBA this year (5.4).
The 76ers have played at the 2nd-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games, which ought to lead to decreased plays for the Timberwolves.
Away from their home court, the 76ers have given up the 6th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.8) in the league to the other team over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).