Anthony Edwards Points - Player Prop Bet 3/3/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Anthony Edwards

G · Minnesota Timberwolves

Points

Los Angeles Lakers vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Mar 3, 2023

Updated Mar 4, 2023 3:41 AM EST

Analysis

Anthony Edwards Points Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (-120/-102).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 27.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 27.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Anthony Edwards has averaged 25.6 points per game over the last 10 games, 3.9 higher than he's averaged over the course of the year.
Anthony Edwards has attempted 8.8 three-pointers per game when playing on the road this year, putting him in the 98th percentile among all players in the league.
The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the quickest pace-of-play in the NBA this year.
The Lakers have played at the quickest pace in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to more opportunities for the Timberwolves.
The Minnesota Timberwolves rank as the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Anthony Edwards has been called for 3.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games while playing away from home, 1.1 higher than he's been called for over the course of the year on the road.
The Minnesota Timberwolves check in as the 7th-least efficient shooting team in the NBA this year.
The matchup against the Lakers is a tough one for scoring; the other team's starting SGs have averaged the 11th-least buckets per game in the league this year (5.2).
While at home, the Lakers have given up the 4th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.4) in the league to their opposition over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists).
Anthony Edwards will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home stadium generally worsens player production in all facets of the game.