Anthony Edwards Points - Player Prop Bet 2/26/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Anthony Edwards

G · Minnesota Timberwolves

Points

Golden State Warriors vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Feb 26, 2023

Updated Feb 27, 2023 4:04 AM EST

Analysis

Anthony Edwards Points Prop is currently Over/Under 31.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 30.5 @ -104 before it was bet up to 31.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Anthony Edwards has scored 25.6 points per game over the last 10 games, 3.9 higher than he's scored in all games this year.
Anthony Edwards has attempted 8.8 3-point shots per game while playing on the road this year, ranking him in the 98th percentile among all players in the NBA.
The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA this year.
The Minnesota Timberwolves have been the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).
Playing at home, the Warriors have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (6.2) in the league to opposing teams over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Anthony Edwards has averaged 3.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.1 more than he's averaged in all games this year on the road.
The Minnesota Timberwolves rank as the 7th-least efficient shooting team in the NBA this year.
The matchup vs. the Warriors is a challenging one for shots from the field; the opposing team's starting SGs have tallied the 6th-least baskets per game in the NBA this year (5.4).
The Warriors have played at the 7th-most sluggish pace in the league over the last 10 games, which ought to lead to decreased plays for the Timberwolves.
Anthony Edwards will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home city usually worsens player production across the board.