Anthony Edwards Points - Player Prop Bet 2/13/2023

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Anthony Edwards

NBA · Player Props

Anthony Edwards

G · Minnesota Timberwolves

Points

Dallas Mavericks vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Feb 13, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Anthony Edwards Points Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (-116/-111).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 27.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 27.5 @ -116.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Anthony Edwards has averaged 24.6 points per game this year, putting him among the best players in the NBA by this metric: 95th percentile.
Anthony Edwards has successfully made 2.7 3-point shots per game this year, placing him in the 94th percentile among all players in the league.
Anthony Edwards has averaged 35.3 minutes per game away from his home court this year, placing him in the 97th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the NBA.
The Minnesota Timberwolves check in as the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games.
The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 2nd-speediest pace in the league over the last 5 games when playing on the road.

Favors Under

The Mavericks have played at the least up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 5 games on their home court, which should lead to fewer possessions for the Timberwolves.
The Minnesota Timberwolves rank as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
Anthony Edwards will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home court generally reduces player production for all stats.

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