Anthony Edwards Points - Player Prop Bet 1/16/2023

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Anthony Edwards

NBA · Player Props

Anthony Edwards

G · Minnesota Timberwolves

Points

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Utah Jazz · Jan 16, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Anthony Edwards Points Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-115/-115).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Anthony Edwards has attempted 18.7 field goals per game this year, ranking in the 96th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
Anthony Edwards has sunk 5.3 foul shots per game over the last 15 games at home, 0.8 more than he's put through the net overall this season at home.
Anthony Edwards has averaged 35.7 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 97th percentile.
The Minnesota Timberwolves rank as the 4th-most efficient shooting team in the NBA this year [AT_HOME_TEAM].
The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 4th-most up-tempo pace in the NBA at home this year.

Favors Under

Anthony Edwards has been called for 2.7 personal fouls per game when playing at home this year, ranking in the 85th percentile -- among the league's most foul-prone.
The Jazz have allowed the 7th-least offensive rebounds per game (11.2) in the league to opposing squads this year (which will also lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Minnesota Timberwolves check in as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year on their home court (which also eliminates additional chances for scoring and assists).
The Timberwolves have played at the 7th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA since the start of last season without the home court advantage, which should decrease plays for the Jazz.
The matchup against the Jazz is a difficult one for 3-pointers; the opposing team's starting SGs have put up the 6th-lowest 3-point rate in the league since the start of last season (32.6%).

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