Anthony Edwards Points - Player Prop Bet 1/6/2023

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Anthony Edwards

NBA · Player Props

Anthony Edwards

G · Minnesota Timberwolves

Points

Minnesota Timberwolves vs LA Clippers · Jan 6, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Anthony Edwards Points Prop is currently Over/Under 26.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 25.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 26.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Anthony Edwards has attempted 22.1 shots per game over the last 10 games, 3.3 more than he's attempted overall this season.
Anthony Edwards has successfully made 6.7 foul shots per game over the last 10 games at home, 2.1 more than he's sunk overall this year on his home court.
Anthony Edwards has played 36.3 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 99th percentile.
The Minnesota Timberwolves check in as the 8th-most efficient shooting team in the NBA when playing at home this year.
The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 5th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA this year.

Favors Under

Anthony Edwards has tallied 2.9 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the most foul-whistled players in the NBA (90th percentile).
The Clippers have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (11.6) in the league to opposing squads since the start of last season (which also eliminates additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Minnesota Timberwolves rank as the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA on their home court this year (which also reduces additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Timberwolves have played at the 8th-least up-tempo pace in the league this year, which should reduce plays for the Clippers.
The matchup against the Clippers is a challenging one for field goal attempts; while playing on the road, opposing starting SGs have tallied the 9th-least FG attempts per game in the league since the start of last season (12.9).

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