Anthony Edwards Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 4/11/2023

NBA · Player Props

Anthony Edwards

G · Minnesota Timberwolves

Made 3 Point Shots

Los Angeles Lakers vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Apr 11, 2023

Updated Apr 12, 2023 12:06 AM EST

Analysis

Anthony Edwards Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-167/+128).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -135 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -167.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Anthony Edwards has sunk 2.6 threes per game when playing on the road this year, putting him in the 94th percentile out of all players in the league.
Anthony Edwards has been on the court for 34.4 minutes per game without the home court advantage this year, putting him in the 95th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the NBA.
The Minnesota Timberwolves check in as the most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA over the last 10 games.
The matchup vs. Los Angeles is a good one for 3-point attempts; opposing starting SGs have averaged the 24th-most three attempts per game in the league over the last 22 games when the Lakers are on their home court (6.7).
The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 7th-speediest pace in the NBA this year.

Favors Under

Anthony Edwards has been called for 2.4 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most most-whistled players in the league (79th percentile).
The Lakers have played at the 10th-slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 9 games on their home court, which ought to lead to fewer opportunities for the Timberwolves.
The Minnesota Timberwolves rank as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
With the home court advantage, the Lakers have given up the 5th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.6) in the league to the other team over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Anthony Edwards will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home city tends to lowers player performance in all stat categories.