Anthony Edwards Assists - Player Prop Bet 3/3/2024

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Anthony Edwards

NBA · Player Props

Anthony Edwards

G · Minnesota Timberwolves

Assists

Minnesota Timberwolves vs LA Clippers · Mar 3, 2024

Updated Mar 3, 2024 9:27 PM EST

Analysis

Anthony Edwards Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-140/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -140.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Anthony Edwards has posted 5.1 assists per game this year, putting him among the best players in the league by this metric: 92nd percentile.
Anthony Edwards has tallied 34.9 minutes per game when playing at home this year, ranking in the 94th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA.
Anthony Edwards is expected to see a rise in effectiveness in all stat categories on account of enjoying the home court advantage in this matchup.

Favors Under

Anthony Edwards has accumulated 0.2 technical fouls per game this year, making him one of the most most-whistled players in the NBA when it comes to technicals (98th percentile).
The Timberwolves have played at the 4th-slowest tempo in the league over the last 15 games.
The Timberwolves will likely suffer a reduction in opportunities in this game from facing the 6th-least up-tempo tempo away offense in the league this year (the LA Clippers).
The Timberwolves rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Over the last 15 games when they are at home, opposing teams have nabbed 12.3 offensive rebounds per game (2nd-highest in the NBA) vs. the Clippers (preserving possessions that can lead to more chances for offense).

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