Anthony Edwards Assists - Player Prop Bet 1/12/2024

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Anthony Edwards

NBA · Player Props

Anthony Edwards

G · Minnesota Timberwolves

Assists

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Portland Trail Blazers · Jan 12, 2024

Updated Jan 13, 2024 12:34 AM EST

Analysis

Anthony Edwards Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Anthony Edwards has totaled 4.9 assists per game this year at home, placing him among the league's hottest by this metric in recent days: 89th percentile.
Out of all players in the NBA, Anthony Edwards rates in the 95th percentile for playing time, posting a whopping 34.9 minutes per game this year.
The Portland Trail Blazers have played at the 3rd-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 5 games away from their home stadium, which should lead to increased plays for the Minnesota Timberwolves.
Anthony Edwards is expected to see a spike in productivity for all stats considering controlling the home court advantage in this contest.

Favors Under

Anthony Edwards has been called for 0.4 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, 0.1 higher than he's been called for in all games this year at home.
The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 4th-slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games.
Offensive rebounds save possession and result in added opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Minnesota Timberwolves rank 3rdworst in in the league while on their home court with only 8.4 offensive boards per game this year.
While playing away from home, the Trail Blazers have allowed the 2nd-most offensive rebounds per game (11.7) in the league to the other team over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

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