Anthony Edwards Assists - Player Prop Bet 12/26/2023

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Anthony Edwards

NBA · Player Props

Anthony Edwards

G · Minnesota Timberwolves

Assists

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Dec 26, 2023

Updated Dec 27, 2023 12:52 AM EST

Analysis

Anthony Edwards Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-106/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ +108 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -106.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Anthony Edwards has averaged 5.5 assists per game this year on the road, ranking him among the NBA's leaders in this category recently: 93rd percentile.
Anthony Edwards has tallied 33.5 minutes per game when playing away from home this year, placing him in the 88th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the NBA.
The Minnesota Timberwolves will likely see an increase in plays today from facing the 3rd-speediest pace home offense in the league over the last 15 games (the Thunder).

Favors Under

Anthony Edwards has accumulated 0.2 technical fouls per game when playing away from home this year, ranking him in the 92nd percentile -- among the NBA's most foul-prone when it comes to technicals.
The Timberwolves have played at the 8th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games away from home.
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and spark bonus chances for scoring and assists, but the Minnesota Timberwolves grade out 3rdworst in in the league with just 9.8 offensive boards per game this year.
This year, the other team has brought down 13.5 offensive boards per game (highest in the league) against the Thunder (retaining possessions that can produce more chances for offense).
Anthony Edwards ought to suffer a drop-off in efficiency across the board on account of playing away from home in this game.

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