Anthony Edwards Assists - Player Prop Bet 12/23/2023

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Anthony Edwards

NBA · Player Props

Anthony Edwards

G · Minnesota Timberwolves

Assists

Sacramento Kings vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Dec 23, 2023

Updated Dec 24, 2023 3:14 AM EST

Analysis

Anthony Edwards Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -140 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Anthony Edwards has totaled 6.0 assists per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 more than he's totaled in all games this season.
Anthony Edwards has averaged 33.1 minutes per game when playing away from home this year, ranking in the 87th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the NBA.
The Sacramento Kings have played at the 2nd-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games at home, which ought to lead to increased possessions for the Timberwolves.
The Timberwolves rank as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games as the visting team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Sacramento Kings have given up the 2nd-least offensive boards per game (9.5) in the NBA to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Anthony Edwards registers in the 95th percentile for technical fouls, registering a colossal 0.2 fouls per game on the road this year.
The 9th-slowest pace offense in the league over the last 10 games has been the Timberwolves.
Anthony Edwards figures to suffer a reduction in effectiveness in all stat categories on account of being on the road in this game.

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