Anthony Edwards Assists - Player Prop Bet 11/26/2023

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Anthony Edwards

NBA · Player Props

Anthony Edwards

G · Minnesota Timberwolves

Assists

Memphis Grizzlies vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Nov 26, 2023

Updated Nov 27, 2023 3:13 AM EST

Analysis

Anthony Edwards Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ +110 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ +105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Anthony Edwards has put up 5.1 assists per game when playing at home this year, placing him in the 92nd percentile -- one of the best in the NBA by this metric.
Anthony Edwards has played 35.0 minutes per game without the home court advantage this year, placing him in the 96th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the NBA.
This year, their opposition has grabbed 8.0 offensive rebounds per game (2nd-lowest in the league) against the Memphis Grizzlies (turning over possessions that could otherwise bring about more chances for offense).

Favors Under

Anthony Edwards has committed 0.1 technical fouls per game playing at home this year, placing him in the 87th percentile -- among the NBA's most foul-prone when it comes to getting T'ed up.
The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the 6th-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games at home, which ought to reduce plays for the Timberwolves.
The Timberwolves have been the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).
Anthony Edwards will likely see a decline in effectiveness in all facets of the game on account of being on the road in this game.

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