Anthony Edwards Assists - Player Prop Bet 4/4/2023

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Anthony Edwards

NBA · Player Props

Anthony Edwards

G · Minnesota Timberwolves

Assists

Brooklyn Nets vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Apr 4, 2023

Updated Apr 4, 2023 11:41 PM EST

Analysis

Anthony Edwards Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+126/-154).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -138 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -154.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Anthony Edwards has totaled 4.5 assists per game this year, ranking him in the 88th percentile -- among the best in the NBA by this standard recently.
Anthony Edwards has been on the court for 34.8 minutes per game away from his home court this year, ranking in the 95th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the NBA.
The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 5th-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 25 games.

Favors Under

Anthony Edwards has tallied 2.4 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the highest-fouling players in the league (79th percentile).
The Nets have played at the 4th-slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which should lead to fewer plays for the Timberwolves.
The Minnesota Timberwolves have been the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).
The Nets have allowed the most offensive rebounds per game (11.9) in the league to their opposition over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).
Anthony Edwards will not hold the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home stadium generally lowers stat production in all stat categories.

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