Anthony Edwards Assists - Player Prop Bet 3/4/2023

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Anthony Edwards

NBA · Player Props

Anthony Edwards

G · Minnesota Timberwolves

Assists

Sacramento Kings vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Mar 4, 2023

Updated Mar 5, 2023 3:08 AM EST

Analysis

Anthony Edwards Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-142/+116).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ +118 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ +116.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Anthony Edwards has put up 3.7 assists per game this year on the road, ranking him among the hottest players in the league by this standard over this stretch of games: 86th percentile.
Anthony Edwards has played 34.1 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA: 93rd percentile.
The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the speediest pace in the league this year.
The Kings have played at the 3rd-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games in their home stadium, which should lead to more plays for the Timberwolves.
The Minnesota Timberwolves rank as the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Anthony Edwards has been called for 3.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, 1.1 more than he's been called for overall this year on the road.
The Kings have given up the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (12.1) in the league to opposing teams over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).
Anthony Edwards will not enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home court usually lowers player performance in all facets of the game.

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