Anthony Edwards Assists - Player Prop Bet 2/7/2023

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Anthony Edwards

NBA · Player Props

Anthony Edwards

G · Minnesota Timberwolves

Assists

Denver Nuggets vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Feb 7, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Anthony Edwards Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-145/+115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ +115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Anthony Edwards has totaled 5.6 assists per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 more than he's totaled over the course of the year.
Anthony Edwards has tallied 35.9 minutes per game when playing away from home this year, putting him in the 98th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the league.
The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 4th-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 10 games.
The Nuggets have played at the 6th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which should lead to more possessions for the Timberwolves.

Favors Under

Anthony Edwards has committed 2.5 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the most foul-prone players in the league (82nd percentile).
The Minnesota Timberwolves rank as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).
Playing at home, the Nuggets have given up the 8th-least offensive rebounds per game (10.8) in the league to opposing clubs over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

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