Anthony Davis Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 4/16/2025

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Anthony Davis

NBA · Player Props

Anthony Davis

F-C · Dallas Mavericks

Rebounds

Sacramento Kings vs Dallas Mavericks · Apr 16, 2025

Updated Apr 17, 2025 1:18 AM EST

Analysis

Anthony Davis Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-130/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ +105 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Anthony Davis has tallied 33.4 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA: 92nd percentile.
The 6th-most up-tempo pace-of-play away team in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Mavericks.

Favors Under

Anthony Davis has tallied a mere 11.6 rebounds per game this year, significantly less than his 12.9 rebounds per game last year.
The Dallas Mavericks are expected to suffer a reduction in possessions today from being pitted against the 2nd-least up-tempo pace offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Sacramento Kings).
The Mavericks have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games when playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Anthony Davis ought to suffer a reduction in effectiveness in all stat categories on account of playing away from home in this game.

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