Anthony Davis Points - Player Prop Bet 4/16/2025

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NBA · Player Props

Anthony Davis

F-C · Dallas Mavericks

Points

Sacramento Kings vs Dallas Mavericks · Apr 16, 2025

Updated Apr 17, 2025 2:03 AM EST

Analysis

Anthony Davis Points Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-122/-104).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 26.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 25.5 @ -104.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Anthony Davis has converted 9.3 baskets per game away from home this year, putting him in the 98th percentile out of all players in the league.
Anthony Davis has tallied 33.4 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA: 92nd percentile.
With respect to shooting, the Dallas Mavericks's exceptional 48.2% field goal rate without the home court advantage places 3rd-most in the league this year.
The matchup vs. the Sacramento Kings is a good one for scoring; the opposing team's starting PFs have put up the 6th-highest Field Goal% in the league this year (52.6%).
The 6th-most up-tempo pace-of-play away team in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Mavericks.

Favors Under

Anthony Davis has missed 2.8 three-point attempts per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.1 more than he's missed overall this season away from home.
The Dallas Mavericks are expected to suffer a reduction in possessions today from being pitted against the 2nd-least up-tempo pace offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Sacramento Kings).
The Mavericks have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games when playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
The matchup vs. the Kings may be a hard one for getting to the foul line; the opposition's starting PFs have attempted just 2.4 foul shots per game over the last 20 games (least in the league).
Anthony Davis ought to suffer a reduction in effectiveness in all stat categories on account of playing away from home in this game.