Anthony Davis Points - Player Prop Bet 1/7/2025

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Anthony Davis

NBA · Player Props

Anthony Davis

F-C · Los Angeles Lakers

Points

Dallas Mavericks vs Los Angeles Lakers · Jan 7, 2025

Updated Jan 8, 2025 4:05 AM EST

Analysis

Anthony Davis Points Prop is currently Over/Under 26.5 (+100/-132).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 25.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 26.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the NBA, Anthony Davis slots into the 98th percentile for shots scored, logging a monstrous 9.4 per game this year.
Anthony Davis has sunk 50.0% of his 3-point shots over the last 5 games, 18.9% more than he's made from three over the course of the season.
Among all players in the league, Anthony Davis places in the 92nd percentile for playing time, registering a colossal 34.3 minutes per game when playing away from home this year.
The Lakers are expected to see a spike in possessions today from facing the 6th-most up-tempo tempo offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Mavericks).
Offensive rebounds continue possession and generate added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Los Angeles Lakers rank 10th-best in in the league when playing on the road with 11.8 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

Favors Under

In regard to treys, the Lakers's poor 11.0 sunk threes per game as the visting team comes in as the 3rd-fewest in the league this year.
The number of threes sunk against Dereck Lively II has been quite low (0.2 per game) when he is playing at home and facing opposing starting Cs this year (3rd percentile).
The Los Angeles Lakers have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace in the league over the last 10 games while playing away from home.
Anthony Davis will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home court tends to decrease player performance for all stats.

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