Anthony Davis Points - Player Prop Bet 12/28/2024

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Anthony Davis

NBA · Player Props

Anthony Davis

F-C · Los Angeles Lakers

Points

Los Angeles Lakers vs Sacramento Kings · Dec 28, 2024

Updated Dec 29, 2024 3:30 AM EST

Analysis

Anthony Davis Points Prop is currently Over/Under 29.5 (+105/-139).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 24.5 @ -139 before it was bet up to 29.5 @ +105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Anthony Davis has averaged 25.7 points per game this year, placing him among the best players in the league in this category: 98th percentile.
Anthony Davis has sunk 45.5% of his three-pointers playing at home this year, ranking in the 87th percentile among all players in the NBA.
Anthony Davis has been on the court for 34.6 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 92nd percentile.
With respect to shooting, the Lakers's impressive 115.8 points per game on their home court comes in as the 8th-best in the league this year.
The Kings have played at the 9th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games, which ought to lead to more opportunities for the Lakers.

Favors Under

The rate of shots from behind the three-point arc made against Domantas Sabonis has been very low (21.3%) when defending other starting Cs this year (7th percentile).
The 8th-least up-tempo tempo offense in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Lakers.
Offensive rebounds save possession and bring about more chances for scoring and assists, but the Lakers grade out 1stworst in in the league on their home court with only 7.5 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games.
Anthony Davis has attempted 8.8 foul shots per game over the last 10 games at home, 1.4 lower than he's attempted overall this season at home.

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