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Anthony Davis

Anthony Davis Points
Player Prop - 12/4/2024

Miami Heat vs Los Angeles Lakers

Anthony Davis Points Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-122/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 24.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 25.5 @ -122.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Anthony Davis has converted 10.0 buckets per game this year, ranking in the 99th percentile out of all players in the league.

Anthony Davis has played 35.7 minutes per game while playing away from home this year, placing him in the 93rd percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the league.

As it relates to offense, the Los Angeles Lakers's outstanding 47.8% field goal rate rates 8th-most in the league over the last 20 games.

The matchup against Bam Adebayo is a favorable one for 3-pointers; when defending other starting Cs this year, they have successfully made an enormous 56.9% of their attempts from downtown (100th percentile).

Relative to last year's 5.5 clip, Anthony Davis's free throws hit have surged this year to 7.2 per game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The least up-tempo pace-of-play team in the league over the last 10 games has been the Los Angeles Lakers.

The Heat have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA with the home court advantage this year, which ought to decrease plays for the Los Angeles Lakers.

Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and produce further opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Los Angeles Lakers grade out 5thworst in in the NBA with a mere 9.1 offensive boards per game this year.

The matchup with Bam Adebayo as it relates to drawing fouls lands in the 3rd percentile for difficulty with opposing starting Cs attempting just 2.1 free throws per game this year when they are on the away squad.

Anthony Davis ought to see a decline in performance across the board considering playing away from home in this contest.

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