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Anthony Davis

Anthony Davis Points
Player Prop - 11/15/2024

San Antonio Spurs vs Los Angeles Lakers

Anthony Davis Points Prop is currently Over/Under 28.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 26.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 28.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Anthony Davis has put up an impressive 30.2 points per game this year, significantly more than his 25.0 points per game last year.

Anthony Davis has converted 58.3% of his three-pointers over the last 5 games, 18.8% more than he's converted from beyond the arc overall this year.

Anthony Davis has tallied 35.0 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the league: 90th percentile.

In terms of offense, the Lakers's impressive 117.6 points per game places 6th-most in the league this year.

The number of shots from the field against Victor Wembanyama has been quite high (11.7 per game) when playing at home and defending opposing starting Cs this year (85th percentile).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Lakers are expected to suffer a drop-off in opportunities today from sharing the court with the 10th-most sluggish pace offense in the NBA this year (the Spurs).

Offensive rebounds continue possession and bring about more chances for scoring and assists, but the Los Angeles Lakers grade out 1stworst in in the NBA away from home with just 8.2 offensive boards per game this year.

The matchup against Victor Wembanyama is a hard one for getting to the foul line; when Wembanyama is at home and matched up against opposing starting Cs this year, they have attempted a mere 1.4 free throws per game (4th percentile).

Anthony Davis will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home court usually reduces stat production across the board.

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