Anthony Davis Points - Player Prop Bet 3/2/2024

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Anthony Davis

NBA · Player Props

Anthony Davis

F-C · Los Angeles Lakers

Points

Los Angeles Lakers vs Denver Nuggets · Mar 2, 2024

Updated Mar 3, 2024 4:11 AM EST

Analysis

Anthony Davis Points Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-103/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 23.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 25.5 @ -103.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Anthony Davis has made 9.7 baskets per game this year, ranking in the 98th percentile among all players in the league.
Out of all players in the league, Anthony Davis slots into the 97th percentile for playing time, compiling a massive 35.6 minutes per game while on his home court this year.
The Lakers check in as the highest scoring offense in the league over the last 25 games.
The matchup vs. the Nuggets is a hard one for three-point shots; opposing clubs have compiled the 8th-lowest three percentage in the league over the last 20 games (35.4%).
While on the road and guarding other starting Cs, Nikola Jokic slots into the 97th percentile with a colossal 12.2 shot attempts from the field against him per game this year.

Favors Under

Among all players in the NBA, Anthony Davis registers in the 15th percentile for three-point performance with a a weak 22.8% rate this year.
The Lakers will likely experience a decrease in opportunities in this contest from sharing the court with the 2nd-most lethargic pace-of-play road offense in the league over the last 20 games (the Denver Nuggets).
The Los Angeles Lakers have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).
The Denver Nuggets have allowed the 2nd-most offensive boards per game (13.6) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists).

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