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Anthony Davis

Anthony Davis Points
Player Prop - 12/13/2023

San Antonio Spurs vs Los Angeles Lakers

Anthony Davis Points Prop is currently Over/Under 28.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 30.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 28.5 @ +105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Anthony Davis has compiled 29.6 points per game over the last 5 games, 5.5 more than he's compiled overall this year.

The Lakers rank as the 10th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games.

This year, the opposition's starting Cs have tallied 11.8 field goal attempts per game (27th-highest in the NBA) against the Spurs, creating a favorable matchup.

The Los Angeles Lakers have played at the most up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 25 games.

The Los Angeles Lakers are expected to see a spike in opportunities in this contest from sharing the court with the 4th-fastest pace away offense in the NBA this year (the San Antonio Spurs).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Anthony Davis has attempted 0.7 three-point shots per game playing at home this year, ranking him in the 15th percentile out of all players in the NBA.

Anthony Davis has committed 3.1 personal fouls per game this season, significantly more than his 2.4 fouls per game last season.

Offensive rebounds save possession and spark extra opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Lakers rank 2ndworst in in the league away from their home court with just 8.4 offensive boards per game this year.

Over the last 20 games when they are at home, the opposing team's starting Cs have attempted 3.3 free throws per game (8th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Spurs, struggling to draw fouls.

Anthony Davis should suffer a reduction in effectiveness in all stat categories in light of playing away from home in this game.

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