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Anthony Davis

Anthony Davis Points
Player Prop - 12/12/2023

Dallas Mavericks vs Los Angeles Lakers

Anthony Davis Points Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 27.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 25.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Anthony Davis has scored 28.4 points per game over the last 5 games while on his home court, 4.9 higher than he's scored overall this year at home.

The 5th-most up-tempo tempo home team in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Los Angeles Lakers.

The Lakers are expected to see a spike in plays today from squaring off against the 7th-fastest pace home team in the NBA this year (the Mavericks).

Anthony Davis has attempted 9.6 free throws per game over the last 5 games while playing at home, 2.6 more than he's attempted over the course of the year at home.

As it relates to getting to the foul line, the Los Angeles Lakers's superb 26.1 free throws per game while on the road places 4th-best in the league this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Out of all players in the league, Anthony Davis comes in at the 15th percentile for three-point attempts with the home court advantage, registering 0.6 per game this year.

In comparison to last season's 2.4 mark, Anthony Davis's personal fouls per game have risen this season to 3.2.

This year, opposing starting Cs have averaged 18.1% on threes (13th-worst in the NBA) vs. the Mavericks, marking this as a hard matchup.

The Los Angeles Lakers have been the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).

This year, the other team has captured 13.0 offensive boards per game (3rd-most in the NBA) against the Mavericks (retaining possessions that can result in more opportunities for offense).

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